luckadjusted

2026 season · in progress

New York Giants, 2026: game by game

The Giants went 1–1 so far in 2026; replayed with the same day’s form, their play was worth 0.2 wins. Luck added 0.8: the 4th-luckiest team in the league. In one-score games they went 1–0.

Every game

How often the Giants win each game when it’s replayed with the way both teams played, and the luck index: 100 × (the result − that number).

WeekGameResultWins the replayLuck index
Week 1 vs Cowboys W 28–20 15% +85
Week 2 @ Rams L 6–28 6% −6

Game by game

The luck index of each game, in order. Right: luckier than the play. Left: unluckier.

Where the luck came from

Luck in points over the regular season, by kind, at the fitted luck shares. Positive: in the Giants’ favor.

KindPointsPer game
Drops+7.0+3.50
Kicks+5.8+2.90
Judgment calls+5.0+2.52
Fumble bounces+3.1+1.57
Injuries+1.3+0.63
Rest−0.6−0.29
3rd & 4th downs−1.2−0.59