All-time · since 2019
The luckiest wins since 2019
The luckiest win since 2019: the Browns beat the Ravens 29–24 (2024, Week 8) in a game they win 1% of the time when it’s replayed with the way both teams played. Here are the 50 biggest heists.
Ranked by how often the winner wins the replay with the same day’s form: the lower, the more the result owed to luck. Unluckiest losses ranks the bad beats instead, and biggest upsets ranks by the betting line.
| # | Game | When | Winner wins the replay | Before kickoff |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Browns 29, Ravens 24 | 2024 Week 8 · Oct 27, 2024 | 1% | 29% |
| 2 | Jets 31, Browns 30 | 2022 Week 2 · Sep 18, 2022 | 2% | 32% |
| 3 | Browns 20, Bengals 18 | 2025 Week 18 · Jan 4, 2026 | 2% | 24% |
| 4 | Seahawks 30, 49ers 23 | 2021 Week 13 · Dec 5, 2021 | 2% | 41% |
| 5 | Bears 24, Packers 22 | 2024 Week 18 · Jan 5, 2025 | 3% | 23% |
| 6 | Colts 12, Broncos 9 | 2022 Week 5 · Oct 6, 2022 | 3% | 40% |
| 7 | Jets 24, Cowboys 22 | 2019 Week 6 · Oct 13, 2019 | 4% | 30% |
| 8 | Titans 28, Dolphins 27 | 2023 Week 14 · Dec 11, 2023 | 5% | 15% |
| 9 | Dolphins 28, Rams 17 | 2020 Week 8 · Nov 1, 2020 | 5% | 40% |
| 10 | Panthers 44, Falcons 38 | 2024 Week 18 · Jan 5, 2025 | 5% | 29% |
| 11 | Colts 20, Chiefs 17 | 2022 Week 3 · Sep 25, 2022 | 5% | 37% |
| 12 | Packers 34, Cowboys 24 | 2019 Week 5 · Oct 6, 2019 | 7% | 40% |
| 13 | Buccaneers 20, Cardinals 17 | 2025 Week 13 · Nov 30, 2025 | 7% | 63% |
| 14 | Broncos 34, Packers 26 | 2025 Week 15 · Dec 14, 2025 | 8% | 46% |
| 15 | Dolphins 16, Colts 12 | 2019 Week 10 · Nov 10, 2019 | 8% | 21% |
| 16 | Texans 23, Buccaneers 20 | 2019 Week 16 · Dec 21, 2019 | 8% | 59% |
| 17 | Seahawks 28, 49ers 21 | 2021 Week 4 · Oct 3, 2021 | 8% | 43% |
| 18 | Bengals 31, Titans 20 | 2020 Week 8 · Nov 1, 2020 | 9% | 29% |
| 19 | Jets 30, Commanders 28 | 2023 Week 16 · Dec 24, 2023 | 9% | 59% |
| 20 | Bears 21, Vikings 19 | 2019 Week 17 · Dec 29, 2019 | 9% | 66% |
| 21 | Browns 18, Jaguars 13 | 2024 Week 2 · Sep 15, 2024 | 9% | 41% |
| 22 | Patriots 25, Jets 22 | 2024 Week 8 · Oct 27, 2024 | 9% | 30% |
| 23 | Dolphins 26, Raiders 25 | 2020 Week 16 · Dec 26, 2020 | 9% | 56% |
| 24 | Panthers 10, Saints 7 | 2022 Week 18 · Jan 8, 2023 | 10% | 40% |
| 25 | Eagles 20, Chiefs 17 | 2025 Week 2 · Sep 14, 2025 | 10% | 54% |
| 26 | Falcons 40, Vikings 23 | 2020 Week 6 · Oct 18, 2020 | 10% | 40% |
| 27 | Giants 21, Chargers 18 | 2025 Week 4 · Sep 28, 2025 | 10% | 33% |
| 28 | Bears 16, Broncos 14 | 2019 Week 2 · Sep 15, 2019 | 10% | 59% |
| 29 | Buccaneers 20, Vikings 17 | 2023 Week 1 · Sep 10, 2023 | 10% | 38% |
| 30 | Cardinals 42, Saints 34 | 2022 Week 7 · Oct 20, 2022 | 10% | 57% |
| 31 | Lions 21, Chiefs 20 | 2023 Week 1 · Sep 7, 2023 | 10% | 38% |
| 32 | Jets 27, Falcons 24 | 2025 Week 13 · Nov 30, 2025 | 11% | 41% |
| 33 | Texans 20, Chiefs 10 | 2025 Week 14 · Dec 7, 2025 | 11% | 37% |
| 34 | Browns 39, Colts 38 | 2023 Week 7 · Oct 22, 2023 | 11% | 60% |
| 35 | Eagles 16, Lions 9 | 2025 Week 11 · Nov 16, 2025 | 12% | 57% |
| 36 | Colts 30, Texans 23 | 2019 Week 7 · Oct 20, 2019 | 12% | 54% |
| 37 | Steelers 34, Jets 32 | 2025 Week 1 · Sep 7, 2025 | 12% | 59% |
| 38 | Bears 31, Cowboys 24 | 2019 Week 14 · Dec 5, 2019 | 13% | 41% |
| 39 | Steelers 18, Ravens 16 | 2024 Week 11 · Nov 17, 2024 | 13% | 41% |
| 40 | Panthers 31, Rams 28 | 2025 Week 13 · Nov 30, 2025 | 13% | 23% |
| 41 | Steelers 23, Bengals 20 | 2022 Week 1 · Sep 11, 2022 | 13% | 29% |
| 42 | Texans 22, Titans 13 | 2021 Week 11 · Nov 21, 2021 | 13% | 22% |
| 43 | Washington 19, Lions 16 | 2019 Week 12 · Nov 24, 2019 | 13% | 38% |
| 44 | Saints 24, Ravens 17 | 2026 Week 2 · Sep 20, 2026 | 13% | 26% |
| 45 | Broncos 16, Raiders 15 | 2019 Week 17 · Dec 29, 2019 | 13% | 66% |
| 46 | Bengals 19, Titans 16 | 2021 Divisional round · Jan 22, 2022 | 13% | 38% |
| 47 | Eagles 25, 49ers 20 | 2020 Week 4 · Oct 4, 2020 | 13% | 26% |
| 48 | Giants 23, Raiders 16 | 2021 Week 9 · Nov 7, 2021 | 13% | 41% |
| 49 | Eagles 33, Rams 26 | 2025 Week 3 · Sep 21, 2025 | 13% | 60% |
| 50 | Cardinals 37, Seahawks 34 | 2020 Week 7 · Oct 25, 2020 | 14% | 40% |