Falcons 35 
Packers 14 Deserved · Falcons win 90% of replays Off day for the Packers 57% to win a fresh game, 10% with this day’s form: offense and defense both far below their usual level. 2026 NFL season · September 24, 2026–September 28
Week 3 2026: who deserved to win
Every winner of Week 3 earned it. The closest call: the Falcons won 35–14 and take 90% of replays.
1 of 16 games scored so far; the rest appear the morning after they’re played.
The line on each card fills with how often the loser wins the replay: the fuller, the more luck decided it. Outlined: the winner was outplayed.
Falcons 35 Packers 14 Deserved · Falcons win 90% of replays Off day for the Packers 57% to win a fresh game, 10% with this day’s form: offense and defense both far below their usual level. Week 3 luck ranking
Every team’s luck index this week: 100 × (the result − how often they win the replay). A loss in a game a team wins 9 times in 10 scores −90.
| # | Team | Game | Wins the replay | Luck index |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Falcons | W 35–14 @ Packers | 90% | +10 |
| 2 | Packers | L 14–35 vs Falcons | 10% | −10 |