2026 season · in progress
Carolina Panthers, 2026: game by game
The Panthers went 1–1 so far in 2026; replayed with the same day’s form, their play was worth 1.1 wins. Luck cost them 0.1: the 15th-unluckiest team in the league. In one-score games they went 0–0.
Every game
How often the Panthers win each game when it’s replayed with the way both teams played, and the luck index: 100 × (the result − that number).
Game by game
The luck index of each game, in order. Right: luckier than the play. Left: unluckier.
Where the luck came from
Luck in points over the regular season, by kind, at the fitted luck shares. Positive: in the Panthers’ favor.
| Kind | Points | Per game |
|---|---|---|
| Fumble bounces | +3.1 | +1.57 |
| Kicks | +2.7 | +1.34 |
| Drops | +0.1 | +0.07 |
| 3rd & 4th downs | −0.8 | −0.41 |
| Judgment calls | −4.1 | −2.03 |
| Injuries | −5.3 | −2.67 |