One-score games · decided by 8 points or fewer

The Panthers in one-score games

The Panthers are 0–0 in one-score games in 2026 so far, after 7–3 in 2025. Replayed with the same day’s form, they win 0.0 of those 0. Since 2019: 23–37 in 60 one-score games, 21.1 wins in replays.

A good record in close games looks like clutch. It rarely lasts: from 2019 to 2025, a team’s win rate in one-score games carried into the next season at a correlation of 0.12, against 0.39 for its overall record. How often a team wins those games in replays says what its play was worth.

Close-game luck by season

One-score wins minus how many of those games the Panthers win in replays (regular season).

2026 0.0 0–0

2025 +2.3 7–3

2024 +2.7 4–3

2023 +0.4 2–6

2022 +0.5 3–5

2021 −1.1 2–6

2020 −3.1 3–8

2019 +0.2 2–6

Season	One-score record	Replay wins in those games	Close-game luck	Overall record
2026	0–0	0.0 of 0	0.0	1–1
2025	7–3	4.7 of 10	+2.3	8–9
2024	4–3	1.3 of 7	+2.7	5–12
2023	2–6	1.6 of 8	+0.4	2–15
2022	3–5	2.5 of 8	+0.5	7–10
2021	2–6	3.1 of 8	−1.1	5–12
2020	3–8	6.1 of 11	−3.1	5–11
2019	2–6	1.8 of 8	+0.2	5–11

Every team’s one-score record, 2026 · Carolina Panthers, every season