NFC South
Carolina Panthers: how lucky, season by season
Since 2019, the Panthers have won 37 regular-season games; replayed with the same day’s form, their play was worth 35.9. Luck added 1.1 wins. Their luckiest season was 2024 (+2.3 wins), the unluckiest 2020 (−3.4).
2026: 1–1 so far, replay wins 1.1 (−0.1 luck). 2026 game by game
Luck in wins, by season
Wins minus replay wins in the regular season. Right: luck added wins. Left: luck cost wins.
| Season | Record | Replay wins | Luck | One-score | Calls, pts per game | Playoffs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 1–1 | 1.1 | −0.1 | 0–0 | −2.03 | – |
| 2025 | 8–9 | 6.6 | +1.4 | 7–3 | +0.51 | 0–1 |
| 2024 | 5–12 | 2.7 | +2.3 | 4–3 | +1.16 | – |
| 2023 | 2–15 | 2.8 | −0.8 | 2–6 | +0.42 | – |
| 2022 | 7–10 | 5.3 | +1.7 | 3–5 | +0.33 | – |
| 2021 | 5–12 | 5.9 | −0.9 | 2–6 | 0.00 | – |
| 2020 | 5–11 | 8.4 | −3.4 | 3–8 | +0.13 | – |
| 2019 | 5–11 | 4.1 | +0.9 | 2–6 | +0.84 | – |
Luckiest wins
Wins the Panthers take least often when the game is replayed with the way both teams played.
Unluckiest losses
Losses the Panthers would win most often in a replay.
| Week | Game | Result | Wins the replay | Luck index |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 Week 6 | vs Bears | L 16–23 | 79% | −79 |
| 2020 Week 12 | @ Vikings | L 27–28 | 71% | −71 |
| 2020 Week 8 | vs Falcons | L 17–25 | 63% | −63 |
| 2021 Week 5 | vs Eagles | L 18–21 | 62% | −62 |
| 2020 Week 7 | @ Saints | L 24–27 | 57% | −57 |
