NFC South
New Orleans Saints: how lucky, season by season
Since 2019, the Saints have won 61 regular-season games; replayed with the same day’s form, their play was worth 62.4. Luck cost them 1.4 wins. Their luckiest season was 2019 (+2.1 wins), the unluckiest 2022 (−2.6).
2026: 1–1 so far, replay wins 0.7 (+0.3 luck). 2026 game by game
Luck in wins, by season
Wins minus replay wins in the regular season. Right: luck added wins. Left: luck cost wins.
| Season | Record | Replay wins | Luck | One-score | Calls, pts per game | Playoffs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 1–1 | 0.7 | +0.3 | 1–1 | +1.09 | – |
| 2025 | 6–11 | 6.9 | −0.9 | 3–5 | −0.17 | – |
| 2024 | 5–12 | 7.3 | −2.3 | 2–6 | −0.28 | – |
| 2023 | 9–8 | 9.2 | −0.2 | 3–6 | +0.16 | – |
| 2022 | 7–10 | 9.6 | −2.6 | 5–6 | +0.15 | – |
| 2021 | 9–8 | 8.1 | +0.9 | 2–3 | −0.27 | – |
| 2020 | 12–4 | 10.4 | +1.6 | 5–3 | −3.34 | 1–1 |
| 2019 | 13–3 | 10.9 | +2.1 | 7–1 | −4.79 | 0–1 |
Luckiest wins
Wins the Saints take least often when the game is replayed with the way both teams played.
| Week | Game | Result | Wins the replay | Luck index |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 Week 2 | @ Ravens | W 24–17 | 13% | +87 |
| 2021 Week 15 | @ Buccaneers | W 9–0 | 17% | +83 |
| 2021 Week 8 | vs Buccaneers | W 36–27 | 22% | +78 |
| 2024 Week 10 | vs Falcons | W 20–17 | 32% | +68 |
| 2021 Week 5 | @ Washington | W 33–22 | 34% | +66 |
Unluckiest losses
Losses the Saints would win most often in a replay.
| Week | Game | Result | Wins the replay | Luck index |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 Week 18 | vs Panthers | L 7–10 | 90% | −90 |
| 2022 Week 7 | @ Cardinals | L 34–42 | 90% | −90 |
| 2021 Week 4 | vs Giants | L 21–27 | 83% | −83 |
| 2020 Week 2 | @ Raiders | L 24–34 | 81% | −81 |
| 2024 Week 9 | @ Panthers | L 22–23 | 77% | −77 |
