2026 season · in progress
New Orleans Saints, 2026: game by game
The Saints went 1–1 so far in 2026; replayed with the same day’s form, their play was worth 0.7 wins. Luck added 0.3: the 10th-luckiest team in the league. In one-score games they went 1–1.
Every game
How often the Saints win each game when it’s replayed with the way both teams played, and the luck index: 100 × (the result − that number).
Game by game
The luck index of each game, in order. Right: luckier than the play. Left: unluckier.
Where the luck came from
Luck in points over the regular season, by kind, at the fitted luck shares. Positive: in the Saints’ favor.
| Kind | Points | Per game |
|---|---|---|
| 3rd & 4th downs | +4.8 | +2.42 |
| Judgment calls | +2.2 | +1.09 |
| Fumble bounces | +1.6 | +0.79 |
| Kicks | +1.6 | +0.78 |
| Injuries | +0.2 | +0.10 |
| Drops | −0.7 | −0.35 |