NFC South
Tampa Bay Buccaneers: how lucky, season by season
Since 2019, the Buccaneers have won 66 regular-season games; replayed with the same day’s form, their play was worth 72.1. Luck cost them 6.1 wins. Their luckiest season was 2023 (+1.2 wins), the unluckiest 2019 (−3.6).
2026: 0–2 so far, replay wins 0.6 (−0.6 luck). 2026 game by game
Luck in wins, by season
Wins minus replay wins in the regular season. Right: luck added wins. Left: luck cost wins.
| Season | Record | Replay wins | Luck | One-score | Calls, pts per game | Playoffs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 0–2 | 0.6 | −0.6 | 0–2 | +0.11 | – |
| 2025 | 8–9 | 8.5 | −0.5 | 6–6 | +0.76 | – |
| 2024 | 10–7 | 10.8 | −0.8 | 3–5 | +1.12 | 0–1 |
| 2023 | 9–8 | 7.8 | +1.2 | 3–4 | +0.54 | 1–1 |
| 2022 | 8–9 | 8.9 | −0.9 | 6–4 | −1.22 | 0–1 |
| 2021 | 13–4 | 14.7 | −1.7 | 6–0 | −1.35 | 1–1 |
| 2020 | 11–5 | 10.7 | +0.3 | 3–3 | +1.95 | 4–0 |
| 2019 | 7–9 | 10.6 | −3.6 | 3–6 | −0.96 | – |
Luckiest wins
Wins the Buccaneers take least often when the game is replayed with the way both teams played.
| Week | Game | Result | Wins the replay | Luck index |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 Week 13 | vs Cardinals | W 20–17 | 7% | +93 |
| 2023 Week 1 | @ Vikings | W 20–17 | 10% | +90 |
| 2023 Week 14 | @ Falcons | W 29–25 | 15% | +85 |
| 2024 Week 2 | @ Lions | W 20–16 | 18% | +82 |
| 2022 Week 13 | vs Saints | W 17–16 | 25% | +75 |
Unluckiest losses
Losses the Buccaneers would win most often in a replay.
| Week | Game | Result | Wins the replay | Luck index |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2019 Week 16 | vs Texans | L 20–23 | 92% | −92 |
| 2019 Week 17 | vs Falcons | L 22–28 | 86% | −86 |
| 2019 Week 8 | @ Titans | L 23–27 | 84% | −84 |
| 2021 Week 10 | @ Washington | L 19–29 | 83% | −83 |
| 2021 Week 15 | vs Saints | L 0–9 | 83% | −83 |
