2026 season · in progress
Tampa Bay Buccaneers, 2026: game by game
The Buccaneers went 0–2 so far in 2026; replayed with the same day’s form, their play was worth 0.6 wins. Luck cost them 0.6: the 7th-unluckiest team in the league. In one-score games they went 0–2.
Every game
How often the Buccaneers win each game when it’s replayed with the way both teams played, and the luck index: 100 × (the result − that number).
Game by game
The luck index of each game, in order. Right: luckier than the play. Left: unluckier.
Where the luck came from
Luck in points over the regular season, by kind, at the fitted luck shares. Positive: in the Buccaneers’ favor.
| Kind | Points | Per game |
|---|---|---|
| Injuries | +0.3 | +0.13 |
| Judgment calls | +0.2 | +0.10 |
| 3rd & 4th downs | +0.2 | +0.10 |
| Drops | −0.5 | −0.24 |
| Kicks | −1.2 | −0.60 |
| Fumble bounces | −4.7 | −2.36 |