2026 season · in progress
Arizona Cardinals, 2026: game by game
The Cardinals went 1–1 so far in 2026; replayed with the same day’s form, their play was worth 0.8 wins. Luck added 0.2: the 12th-luckiest team in the league. In one-score games they went 0–0.
Every game
How often the Cardinals win each game when it’s replayed with the way both teams played, and the luck index: 100 × (the result − that number).
| Week | Game | Result | Wins the replay | Luck index |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Week 1 | @ Chargers | W 26–14 | 49% | +51 |
| Week 2 | vs Seahawks | L 7–31 | 30% | −30 |
Game by game
The luck index of each game, in order. Right: luckier than the play. Left: unluckier.
Where the luck came from
Luck in points over the regular season, by kind, at the fitted luck shares. Positive: in the Cardinals’ favor.
| Kind | Points | Per game |
|---|---|---|
| Injuries | +4.8 | +2.42 |
| Fumble bounces | +1.6 | +0.79 |
| 3rd & 4th downs | +0.9 | +0.45 |
| Kicks | −0.8 | −0.38 |
| Rest | −0.8 | −0.40 |
| Drops | −1.2 | −0.58 |
| Judgment calls | −3.9 | −1.97 |