luckadjusted

2026 season · in progress

Tennessee Titans, 2026: game by game

The Titans went 0–2 so far in 2026; replayed with the same day’s form, their play was worth 0.5 wins. Luck cost them 0.5: the 10th-unluckiest team in the league. In one-score games they went 0–1.

Every game

How often the Titans win each game when it’s replayed with the way both teams played, and the luck index: 100 × (the result − that number).

WeekGameResultWins the replayLuck index
Week 1 vs Jets L 10–23 19% −19
Week 2 vs Eagles L 20–24 26% −26

Game by game

The luck index of each game, in order. Right: luckier than the play. Left: unluckier.

Where the luck came from

Luck in points over the regular season, by kind, at the fitted luck shares. Positive: in the Titans’ favor.

KindPointsPer game
Judgment calls+3.9+1.94
Drops+2.1+1.05
Injuries−0.2−0.12
Kicks−0.3−0.17
3rd & 4th downs−1.6−0.81
Fumble bounces−3.1−1.57