One-score games · decided by 8 points or fewer

The Titans in one-score games

The Titans are 0–1 in one-score games in 2026 so far, after 2–5 in 2025. Replayed with the same day’s form, they win 0.3 of those 1. Since 2019: 30–32 in 62 one-score games, 25.7 wins in replays.

A good record in close games looks like clutch. It rarely lasts: from 2019 to 2025, a team’s win rate in one-score games carried into the next season at a correlation of 0.12, against 0.39 for its overall record. How often a team wins those games in replays says what its play was worth.

Close-game luck by season

One-score wins minus how many of those games the Titans win in replays (regular season).

2026 −0.3 0–1

2025 +0.9 2–5

2024 −1.7 2–6

2023 +0.4 5–7

2022 −0.3 5–6

2021 +2.0 6–2

2020 +1.7 7–2

2019 +1.5 3–3

Season	One-score record	Replay wins in those games	Close-game luck	Overall record
2026	0–1	0.3 of 1	−0.3	0–2
2025	2–5	1.1 of 7	+0.9	3–14
2024	2–6	3.7 of 8	−1.7	3–14
2023	5–7	4.6 of 12	+0.4	6–11
2022	5–6	5.3 of 11	−0.3	7–10
2021	6–2	4.0 of 8	+2.0	12–5
2020	7–2	5.3 of 9	+1.7	11–5
2019	3–3	1.5 of 6	+1.5	9–7

2026 one-score games

Week	Game	Result	Wins the replay	Luck index
Week 2	vs Eagles	L 20–24	26%	−26

Every team’s one-score record, 2026 · Tennessee Titans, every season