One-score games · decided by 8 points or fewer

The Titans in one-score games

The Titans are 1–5 in one-score games in 2026 so far, after 2–5 in 2025. Replayed with the same day’s form, they win 1.6 of those 6. Since 2019: 31–36 in 67 one-score games, 27.0 wins in replays.

A good record in close games looks like clutch. It rarely lasts: from 2019 to 2025, a team’s win rate in one-score games carried into the next season at a correlation of 0.12, against 0.39 for its overall record. How often a team wins those games in replays says what its play was worth.

Close-game luck by season

One-score wins minus how many of those games the Titans win in replays (regular season).

2026 −0.6 1–5

2025 +0.8 2–5

2024 −1.3 2–6

2023 +0.6 5–7

2022 −0.6 5–6

2021 +1.9 6–2

2020 +1.7 7–2

2019 +1.5 3–3

Season	One-score record	Replay wins in those games	Close-game luck	Overall record
2026	1–5	1.6 of 6	−0.6	1–7
2025	2–5	1.2 of 7	+0.8	3–14
2024	2–6	3.3 of 8	−1.3	3–14
2023	5–7	4.4 of 12	+0.6	6–11
2022	5–6	5.6 of 11	−0.6	7–10
2021	6–2	4.1 of 8	+1.9	12–5
2020	7–2	5.3 of 9	+1.7	11–5
2019	3–3	1.5 of 6	+1.5	9–7

2026 one-score games

Week	Game	Result	Wins the replay	Luck index
Week 2	vs Eagles	L 20–24	38%	−38
Week 3	@ Giants	L 7–12	19%	−19
Week 4	@ Ravens	L 18–24	5%	−5
Week 6	@ Colts	W 26–20	80%	+20
Week 7	vs Browns	L 24–27	16%	−16
Week 8	@ Bengals	L 36–43	6%	−6

Every team’s one-score record, 2026 · Tennessee Titans, every season