AFC South
Tennessee Titans: how lucky, season by season
Since 2019, the Titans have won 51 regular-season games; replayed with the same day’s form, their play was worth 45.9. Luck added 5.1 wins. Their luckiest season was 2021 (+2.5 wins), the unluckiest 2024 (−2.4).
2026: 0–2 so far, replay wins 0.5 (−0.5 luck). 2026 game by game
Luck in wins, by season
Wins minus replay wins in the regular season. Right: luck added wins. Left: luck cost wins.
| Season | Record | Replay wins | Luck | One-score | Calls, pts per game | Playoffs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 0–2 | 0.5 | −0.5 | 0–1 | +1.94 | – |
| 2025 | 3–14 | 2.4 | +0.6 | 2–5 | −0.89 | – |
| 2024 | 3–14 | 5.4 | −2.4 | 2–6 | −1.38 | – |
| 2023 | 6–11 | 5.6 | +0.4 | 5–7 | −0.99 | – |
| 2022 | 7–10 | 6.8 | +0.2 | 5–6 | −0.77 | – |
| 2021 | 12–5 | 9.5 | +2.5 | 6–2 | −0.17 | 0–1 |
| 2020 | 11–5 | 9.7 | +1.3 | 7–2 | +0.20 | 0–1 |
| 2019 | 9–7 | 6.6 | +2.4 | 3–3 | +0.65 | 2–1 |
Luckiest wins
Wins the Titans take least often when the game is replayed with the way both teams played.
| Week | Game | Result | Wins the replay | Luck index |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 Week 14 | @ Dolphins | W 28–27 | 5% | +95 |
| 2019 Week 8 | vs Buccaneers | W 27–23 | 16% | +84 |
| 2019 Week 7 | vs Chargers | W 23–20 | 20% | +80 |
| 2019 Week 13 | @ Colts | W 31–17 | 24% | +76 |
| 2019 Week 4 | @ Falcons | W 24–10 | 27% | +73 |
Unluckiest losses
Losses the Titans would win most often in a replay.
| Week | Game | Result | Wins the replay | Luck index |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 Week 8 | @ Bengals | L 20–31 | 91% | −91 |
| 2021 Week 11 | vs Texans | L 13–22 | 87% | −87 |
| 2021 Divisional round | vs Bengals | L 16–19 | 87% | −87 |
| 2024 Week 1 | @ Bears | L 17–24 | 78% | −78 |
| 2021 Week 4 | @ Jets | L 24–27 | 70% | −70 |
