2026 season · in progress
Baltimore Ravens, 2026: game by game
The Ravens went 1–1 so far in 2026; replayed with the same day’s form, their play was worth 1.7 wins. Luck cost them 0.7: the 3rd-unluckiest team in the league. In one-score games they went 0–1.
Every game
How often the Ravens win each game when it’s replayed with the way both teams played, and the luck index: 100 × (the result − that number).
Game by game
The luck index of each game, in order. Right: luckier than the play. Left: unluckier.
Where the luck came from
Luck in points over the regular season, by kind, at the fitted luck shares. Positive: in the Ravens’ favor.
| Kind | Points | Per game |
|---|---|---|
| Drops | +4.2 | +2.11 |
| Injuries | −1.1 | −0.53 |
| Fumble bounces | −1.6 | −0.79 |
| 3rd & 4th downs | −1.9 | −0.97 |
| Kicks | −2.2 | −1.11 |
| Judgment calls | −10.7 | −5.36 |