AFC North
Baltimore Ravens: how lucky, season by season
Since 2019, the Ravens have won 76 regular-season games; replayed with the same day’s form, their play was worth 79.7. Luck cost them 3.7 wins. Their luckiest season was 2022 (+0.9 wins), the unluckiest 2025 (−2.1).
2026: 1–1 so far, replay wins 1.7 (−0.7 luck). 2026 game by game
Luck in wins, by season
Wins minus replay wins in the regular season. Right: luck added wins. Left: luck cost wins.
| Season | Record | Replay wins | Luck | One-score | Calls, pts per game | Playoffs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 1–1 | 1.7 | −0.7 | 0–1 | −5.36 | – |
| 2025 | 8–9 | 10.1 | −2.1 | 2–5 | +0.23 | – |
| 2024 | 12–5 | 13.9 | −1.9 | 5–5 | −2.92 | 1–1 |
| 2023 | 13–4 | 13.8 | −0.8 | 4–4 | −0.90 | 1–1 |
| 2022 | 10–7 | 9.1 | +0.9 | 6–5 | −0.20 | 0–1 |
| 2021 | 8–9 | 8.8 | −0.8 | 6–6 | +0.08 | – |
| 2020 | 11–5 | 10.2 | +0.8 | 2–4 | −2.32 | 1–1 |
| 2019 | 14–2 | 13.8 | +0.2 | 5–1 | −1.95 | 0–1 |
Luckiest wins
Wins the Ravens take least often when the game is replayed with the way both teams played.
| Week | Game | Result | Wins the replay | Luck index |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 Week 14 | @ Steelers | W 16–14 | 28% | +72 |
| 2025 Week 17 | @ Packers | W 41–24 | 33% | +67 |
| 2022 Week 5 | vs Bengals | W 19–17 | 40% | +60 |
| 2022 Week 9 | @ Saints | W 27–13 | 41% | +59 |
| 2024 Week 7 | @ Buccaneers | W 41–31 | 44% | +56 |
Unluckiest losses
Losses the Ravens would win most often in a replay.
| Week | Game | Result | Wins the replay | Luck index |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 Week 8 | @ Browns | L 24–29 | 99% | −99 |
| 2024 Week 11 | @ Steelers | L 16–18 | 87% | −87 |
| 2026 Week 2 | vs Saints | L 17–24 | 87% | −87 |
| 2023 Week 10 | vs Browns | L 31–33 | 86% | −86 |
| 2024 Week 2 | vs Raiders | L 23–26 | 84% | −84 |
