One-score games · decided by 8 points or fewer

The Ravens in one-score games

The Ravens are 0–1 in one-score games in 2026 so far, after 2–5 in 2025. Replayed with the same day’s form, they win 0.9 of those 1. Since 2019: 30–31 in 61 one-score games, 37.7 wins in replays.

A good record in close games looks like clutch. It rarely lasts: from 2019 to 2025, a team’s win rate in one-score games carried into the next season at a correlation of 0.12, against 0.39 for its overall record. How often a team wins those games in replays says what its play was worth.

Close-game luck by season

One-score wins minus how many of those games the Ravens win in replays (regular season).

2026 −0.9 0–1

2025 −2.1 2–5

2024 −2.7 5–5

2023 −1.6 4–4

2022 0.0 6–5

2021 −0.3 6–6

2020 −0.4 2–4

2019 +0.2 5–1

Season	One-score record	Replay wins in those games	Close-game luck	Overall record
2026	0–1	0.9 of 1	−0.9	1–1
2025	2–5	4.1 of 7	−2.1	8–9
2024	5–5	7.7 of 10	−2.7	12–5
2023	4–4	5.6 of 8	−1.6	13–4
2022	6–5	6.0 of 11	0.0	10–7
2021	6–6	6.3 of 12	−0.3	8–9
2020	2–4	2.4 of 6	−0.4	11–5
2019	5–1	4.8 of 6	+0.2	14–2

2026 one-score games

Week	Game	Result	Wins the replay	Luck index
Week 2	vs Saints	L 17–24	87%	−87

Every team’s one-score record, 2026 · Baltimore Ravens, every season