AFC North
Pittsburgh Steelers: how lucky, season by season
Since 2019, the Steelers have won 68.5 regular-season games; replayed with the same day’s form, their play was worth 52.0. Luck added 16.5 wins. Their luckiest season was 2021 (+3.7 wins), the unluckiest 2019 (+1.4).
2026: 1–1 so far, replay wins 0.8 (+0.2 luck). 2026 game by game
Luck in wins, by season
Wins minus replay wins in the regular season. Right: luck added wins. Left: luck cost wins.
| Season | Record | Replay wins | Luck | One-score | Calls, pts per game | Playoffs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 1–1 | 0.8 | +0.2 | 1–0 | +0.34 | – |
| 2025 | 10–7 | 7.8 | +2.2 | 7–3 | +1.06 | 0–1 |
| 2024 | 10–7 | 7.2 | +2.8 | 6–4 | +1.64 | 0–1 |
| 2023 | 10–7 | 7.4 | +2.6 | 9–2 | +0.88 | 0–1 |
| 2022 | 9–8 | 7.5 | +1.5 | 7–5 | −0.16 | – |
| 2021 | 9–7–1 | 5.8 | +3.7 | 8–2–1 | +2.72 | 0–1 |
| 2020 | 12–4 | 9.6 | +2.4 | 7–2 | +1.01 | 0–1 |
| 2019 | 8–8 | 6.6 | +1.4 | 6–5 | +1.85 | – |
Luckiest wins
Wins the Steelers take least often when the game is replayed with the way both teams played.
| Week | Game | Result | Wins the replay | Luck index |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 Week 1 | @ Jets | W 34–32 | 12% | +88 |
| 2024 Week 11 | vs Ravens | W 18–16 | 13% | +87 |
| 2022 Week 1 | @ Bengals | W 23–20 | 13% | +87 |
| 2024 Week 10 | @ Commanders | W 28–27 | 14% | +86 |
| 2021 Week 18 | @ Ravens | W 16–13 | 17% | +83 |
Unluckiest losses
Losses the Steelers would win most often in a replay.
| Week | Game | Result | Wins the replay | Luck index |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 Week 13 | vs Washington | L 17–23 | 72% | −72 |
| 2024 Week 12 | @ Browns | L 19–24 | 72% | −72 |
| 2022 Week 14 | vs Ravens | L 14–16 | 72% | −72 |
| 2025 Week 12 | @ Bears | L 28–31 | 69% | −69 |
| 2025 Week 7 | @ Bengals | L 31–33 | 64% | −64 |
