2026 season · in progress
Pittsburgh Steelers, 2026: game by game
The Steelers went 1–1 so far in 2026; replayed with the same day’s form, their play was worth 0.8 wins. Luck added 0.2: the 13th-luckiest team in the league. In one-score games they went 1–0.
Every game
How often the Steelers win each game when it’s replayed with the way both teams played, and the luck index: 100 × (the result − that number).
| Week | Game | Result | Wins the replay | Luck index |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Week 1 | vs Falcons | W 20–13 | 74% | +26 |
| Week 2 | @ Patriots | L 3–20 | 10% | −10 |
Game by game
The luck index of each game, in order. Right: luckier than the play. Left: unluckier.
Where the luck came from
Luck in points over the regular season, by kind, at the fitted luck shares. Positive: in the Steelers’ favor.
| Kind | Points | Per game |
|---|---|---|
| Kicks | +3.3 | +1.66 |
| Judgment calls | +0.7 | +0.34 |
| Rest | −0.8 | −0.40 |
| Injuries | −1.2 | −0.58 |
| 3rd & 4th downs | −1.6 | −0.81 |
| Drops | −1.8 | −0.91 |
| Fumble bounces | −3.1 | −1.57 |