2026 season · in progress
Cincinnati Bengals, 2026: game by game
The Bengals went 2–0 so far in 2026; replayed with the same day’s form, their play was worth 1.4 wins. Luck added 0.6: the 6th-luckiest team in the league. In one-score games they went 1–0.
Every game
How often the Bengals win each game when it’s replayed with the way both teams played, and the luck index: 100 × (the result − that number).
| Week | Game | Result | Wins the replay | Luck index |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Week 1 | vs Buccaneers | W 33–27 | 96% | +4 |
| Week 2 | @ Texans | W 20–6 | 44% | +56 |
Game by game
The luck index of each game, in order. Right: luckier than the play. Left: unluckier.
Where the luck came from
Luck in points over the regular season, by kind, at the fitted luck shares. Positive: in the Bengals’ favor.
| Kind | Points | Per game |
|---|---|---|
| Kicks | +6.8 | +3.39 |
| 3rd & 4th downs | +4.8 | +2.38 |
| Fumble bounces | +4.7 | +2.36 |
| Injuries | +1.8 | +0.89 |
| Drops | −2.2 | −1.08 |
| Judgment calls | −6.3 | −3.15 |