luckadjusted

2026 season · in progress

Los Angeles Rams, 2026: game by game

The Rams went 1–1 so far in 2026; replayed with the same day’s form, their play was worth 1.0 wins. Luck cost them 0.0: the 16th-unluckiest team in the league. In one-score games they went 0–0.

Every game

How often the Rams win each game when it’s replayed with the way both teams played, and the luck index: 100 × (the result − that number).

WeekGameResultWins the replayLuck index
Week 1 vs 49ers L 7–27 11% −11
Week 2 vs Giants W 28–6 94% +6

Game by game

The luck index of each game, in order. Right: luckier than the play. Left: unluckier.

Where the luck came from

Luck in points over the regular season, by kind, at the fitted luck shares. Positive: in the Rams’ favor.

KindPointsPer game
Rest+0.6+0.29
Injuries+0.5+0.24
3rd & 4th downs+0.3+0.17
Drops−1.8−0.90
Kicks−2.9−1.44
Judgment calls−5.2−2.59