luckadjusted

NFC West

Los Angeles Rams: how lucky, season by season

Since 2019, the Rams have won 68 regular-season games; replayed with the same day’s form, their play was worth 71.7. Luck cost them 3.7 wins. Their luckiest season was 2024 (+1.3 wins), the unluckiest 2025 (−1.7).

2026: 1–1 so far, replay wins 1.0 (0.0 luck). 2026 game by game

Luck in wins, by season

Wins minus replay wins in the regular season. Right: luck added wins. Left: luck cost wins.

SeasonRecordReplay winsLuckOne-scoreCalls, pts per gamePlayoffs
2026 1–1 1.0 0.0 0–0 −2.59 –
2025 12–5 13.7 −1.7 4–5 +1.45 2–1
2024 10–7 8.7 +1.3 8–5 +1.18 1–1
2023 10–7 10.0 0.0 6–4 +0.56 0–1
2022 5–12 6.1 −1.1 3–4 0.00 –
2021 12–5 11.8 +0.2 4–2 +0.63 4–0
2020 10–6 11.2 −1.2 4–4 −0.12 1–1
2019 9–7 10.1 −1.1 3–3 −1.35 –

Luckiest wins

Wins the Rams take least often when the game is replayed with the way both teams played.

WeekGameResultWins the replayLuck index
2024 Week 17 vs Cardinals W 13–9 17% +83
2022 Week 14 vs Raiders W 17–16 19% +81
2024 Week 3 vs 49ers W 27–24 30% +70
2021 Week 2 @ Colts W 27–24 32% +68
2025 Divisional round @ Bears W 20–17 34% +66

Unluckiest losses

Losses the Rams would win most often in a replay.

WeekGameResultWins the replayLuck index
2020 Week 8 @ Dolphins L 17–28 95% −95
2025 Week 13 @ Panthers L 28–31 87% −87
2025 Week 3 @ Eagles L 26–33 87% −87
2023 Week 7 vs Steelers L 17–24 79% −79
2020 Week 15 vs Jets L 20–23 79% −79