2024 season · final
Los Angeles Rams, 2024: game by game
The Rams went 10–7 in 2024; replayed with the same day’s form, their play was worth 8.7 wins. Luck added 1.3: the 11th-luckiest team in the league. In one-score games they went 8–5.
Playoffs: 1–1, replay wins 1.0.
Every game
How often the Rams win each game when it’s replayed with the way both teams played, and the luck index: 100 × (the result − that number).
| Week | Game | Result | Wins the replay | Luck index |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Week 1 | @ Lions | L 20–26 | 24% | −24 |
| Week 2 | @ Cardinals | L 10–41 | 21% | −21 |
| Week 3 | vs 49ers | W 27–24 | 30% | +70 |
| Week 4 | @ Bears | L 18–24 | 72% | −72 |
| Week 5 | vs Packers | L 19–24 | 33% | −33 |
| Week 7 | vs Raiders | W 20–15 | 88% | +12 |
| Week 8 | vs Vikings | W 30–20 | 68% | +32 |
| Week 9 | @ Seahawks | W 26–20 | 38% | +62 |
| Week 10 | vs Dolphins | L 15–23 | 72% | −72 |
| Week 11 | @ Patriots | W 28–22 | 91% | +9 |
| Week 12 | vs Eagles | L 20–37 | 5% | −5 |
| Week 13 | @ Saints | W 21–14 | 75% | +25 |
| Week 14 | vs Bills | W 44–42 | 40% | +60 |
| Week 15 | @ 49ers | W 12–6 | 60% | +40 |
| Week 16 | @ Jets | W 19–9 | 84% | +16 |
| Week 17 | vs Cardinals | W 13–9 | 17% | +83 |
| Week 18 | vs Seahawks | L 25–30 | 58% | −58 |
| Wild Card | vs Vikings | W 27–9 | 66% | +34 |
| Divisional round | @ Eagles | L 22–28 | 31% | −31 |
Game by game
The luck index of each game, in order. Right: luckier than the play. Left: unluckier.
Where the luck came from
Luck in points over the regular season, by kind, at the fitted luck shares. Positive: in the Rams’ favor.
| Kind | Points | Per game |
|---|---|---|
| Judgment calls | +20.1 | +1.18 |
| Drops | +8.2 | +0.48 |
| Fumble bounces | +6.3 | +0.37 |
| 3rd & 4th downs | −3.8 | −0.22 |
| Kicks | −8.8 | −0.52 |
| Injuries | −14.6 | −0.86 |