2024 season · final
Los Angeles Rams, 2024: game by game
The Rams went 10–7 in 2024; replayed with the same day’s form, their play was worth 8.4 wins. Luck added 1.6: the 10th-luckiest team in the league. In one-score games they went 8–5.
Playoffs: 1–1, replay wins 1.1.
Every game
How often the Rams win each game when it’s replayed with the way both teams played, and the luck index: 100 × (the result − that number).
| Week | Game | Result | Wins the replay | Luck index |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Week 1 | @ Lions | L 20–26 | 23% | −23 |
| Week 2 | @ Cardinals | L 10–41 | 25% | −25 |
| Week 3 | vs 49ers | W 27–24 | 27% | +73 |
| Week 4 | @ Bears | L 18–24 | 56% | −56 |
| Week 5 | vs Packers | L 19–24 | 31% | −31 |
| Week 7 | vs Raiders | W 20–15 | 90% | +10 |
| Week 8 | vs Vikings | W 30–20 | 51% | +49 |
| Week 9 | @ Seahawks | W 26–20 | 36% | +64 |
| Week 10 | vs Dolphins | L 15–23 | 72% | −72 |
| Week 11 | @ Patriots | W 28–22 | 96% | +4 |
| Week 12 | vs Eagles | L 20–37 | 6% | −6 |
| Week 13 | @ Saints | W 21–14 | 84% | +16 |
| Week 14 | vs Bills | W 44–42 | 34% | +66 |
| Week 15 | @ 49ers | W 12–6 | 62% | +38 |
| Week 16 | @ Jets | W 19–9 | 71% | +29 |
| Week 17 | vs Cardinals | W 13–9 | 19% | +81 |
| Week 18 | vs Seahawks | L 25–30 | 58% | −58 |
| Wild Card | vs Vikings | W 27–9 | 81% | +19 |
| Divisional round | @ Eagles | L 22–28 | 29% | −29 |
Game by game
The luck index of each game, in order. Right: luckier than the play. Left: unluckier.
Where the luck came from
Luck over the regular season by kind, in wins: every lucky or unlucky play weighted by the moment it happened, so a missed kick at the end of a close game counts for far more than one in a blowout. Positive: in the Rams’ favor. At the fitted luck shares.
| Kind | Wins | Points |
|---|---|---|
| Judgment calls | +0.39 | +10.1 |
| Fumble bounces | +0.35 | +8.4 |
| Drops | +0.35 | +7.8 |
| 3rd & 4th downs | −0.09 | −5.3 |
| Kicks | −0.16 | −9.0 |
| Injuries | −0.28 | −11.0 |