One-score games · decided by 8 points or fewer

The Rams in one-score games

The Rams are 2–3 in one-score games in 2026 so far, after 4–5 in 2025. Replayed with the same day’s form, they win 4.1 of those 5. Since 2019: 34–30 in 64 one-score games, 39.5 wins in replays.

A good record in close games looks like clutch. It rarely lasts: from 2019 to 2025, a team’s win rate in one-score games carried into the next season at a correlation of 0.12, against 0.39 for its overall record. How often a team wins those games in replays says what its play was worth.

Close-game luck by season

One-score wins minus how many of those games the Rams win in replays (regular season).

2026 −2.1 2–3

2025 −2.9 4–5

2024 +1.1 8–5

2023 −0.2 6–4

2022 +0.3 3–4

2021 +0.3 4–2

2020 −1.0 4–4

2019 −1.1 3–3

Season	One-score record	Replay wins in those games	Close-game luck	Overall record
2026	2–3	4.1 of 5	−2.1	5–4
2025	4–5	6.9 of 9	−2.9	12–5
2024	8–5	6.9 of 13	+1.1	10–7
2023	6–4	6.2 of 10	−0.2	10–7
2022	3–4	2.7 of 7	+0.3	5–12
2021	4–2	3.7 of 6	+0.3	12–5
2020	4–4	5.0 of 8	−1.0	10–6
2019	3–3	4.1 of 6	−1.1	9–7

2026 one-score games

Week	Game	Result	Wins the replay	Luck index
Week 3	@ Broncos	L 26–30	93%	−93
Week 4	@ Eagles	W 24–20	95%	+5
Week 5	vs Bills	L 34–37	72%	−72
Week 6	vs Cardinals	L 16–18	65%	−65
Week 9	@ Commanders	W 20–13	84%	+16

Every team’s one-score record, 2026 · Los Angeles Rams, every season