2019 season · final
Los Angeles Rams, 2019: game by game
The Rams went 9–7 in 2019; replayed with the same day’s form, their play was worth 10.1 wins. Luck cost them 1.1: the 12th-unluckiest team in the league. In one-score games they went 3–3.
Every game
How often the Rams win each game when it’s replayed with the way both teams played, and the luck index: 100 × (the result − that number).
| Week | Game | Result | Wins the replay | Luck index |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Week 1 | @ Panthers | W 30–27 | 91% | +9 |
| Week 2 | vs Saints | W 27–9 | 79% | +21 |
| Week 3 | @ Browns | W 20–13 | 83% | +17 |
| Week 4 | vs Buccaneers | L 40–55 | 64% | −64 |
| Week 5 | @ Seahawks | L 29–30 | 57% | −57 |
| Week 6 | vs 49ers | L 7–20 | 10% | −10 |
| Week 7 | @ Falcons | W 37–10 | 80% | +20 |
| Week 8 | vs Bengals | W 24–10 | 91% | +9 |
| Week 10 | @ Steelers | L 12–17 | 78% | −78 |
| Week 11 | vs Bears | W 17–7 | 80% | +20 |
| Week 12 | vs Ravens | L 6–45 | 3% | −3 |
| Week 13 | @ Cardinals | W 34–7 | 96% | +4 |
| Week 14 | vs Seahawks | W 28–12 | 87% | +13 |
| Week 15 | @ Cowboys | L 21–44 | 8% | −8 |
| Week 16 | @ 49ers | L 31–34 | 43% | −43 |
| Week 17 | vs Cardinals | W 31–24 | 62% | +38 |
Game by game
The luck index of each game, in order. Right: luckier than the play. Left: unluckier.
Where the luck came from
Luck in points over the regular season, by kind, at the fitted luck shares. Positive: in the Rams’ favor.
| Kind | Points | Per game |
|---|---|---|
| Rest | +0.8 | +0.05 |
| Fumble bounces | −1.6 | −0.10 |
| Injuries | −6.5 | −0.41 |
| 3rd & 4th downs | −7.2 | −0.45 |
| Kicks | −8.9 | −0.56 |
| Judgment calls | −21.6 | −1.35 |