2026 season · in progress
Dallas Cowboys, 2026: game by game
The Cowboys went 1–1 so far in 2026; replayed with the same day’s form, their play was worth 1.6 wins. Luck cost them 0.6: the 4th-unluckiest team in the league. In one-score games they went 0–1.
Every game
How often the Cowboys win each game when it’s replayed with the way both teams played, and the luck index: 100 × (the result − that number).
| Week | Game | Result | Wins the replay | Luck index |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Week 1 | @ Giants | L 20–28 | 85% | −85 |
| Week 2 | vs Commanders | W 37–20 | 79% | +21 |
Game by game
The luck index of each game, in order. Right: luckier than the play. Left: unluckier.
Where the luck came from
Luck in points over the regular season, by kind, at the fitted luck shares. Positive: in the Cowboys’ favor.
| Kind | Points | Per game |
|---|---|---|
| Kicks | +3.7 | +1.84 |
| Judgment calls | +1.4 | +0.70 |
| Injuries | −0.7 | −0.33 |
| 3rd & 4th downs | −2.0 | −1.02 |
| Drops | −2.6 | −1.28 |
| Fumble bounces | −4.7 | −2.36 |