2026 season · in progress
Las Vegas Raiders, 2026: game by game
The Raiders went 2–0 so far in 2026; replayed with the same day’s form, their play was worth 1.1 wins. Luck added 0.9: the 2nd-luckiest team in the league. In one-score games they went 0–0.
Every game
How often the Raiders win each game when it’s replayed with the way both teams played, and the luck index: 100 × (the result − that number).
| Week | Game | Result | Wins the replay | Luck index |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Week 1 | vs Dolphins | W 27–13 | 45% | +55 |
| Week 2 | @ Chargers | W 26–14 | 69% | +31 |
Game by game
The luck index of each game, in order. Right: luckier than the play. Left: unluckier.
Where the luck came from
Luck in points over the regular season, by kind, at the fitted luck shares. Positive: in the Raiders’ favor.
| Kind | Points | Per game |
|---|---|---|
| Kicks | +9.3 | +4.67 |
| Judgment calls | +9.2 | +4.62 |
| 3rd & 4th downs | +2.8 | +1.42 |
| Injuries | −1.9 | −0.93 |
| Drops | −3.6 | −1.82 |