2026 season · in progress
Indianapolis Colts, 2026: game by game
The Colts went 0–2 so far in 2026; replayed with the same day’s form, their play was worth 0.6 wins. Luck cost them 0.6: the 6th-unluckiest team in the league. In one-score games they went 0–1.
Every game
How often the Colts win each game when it’s replayed with the way both teams played, and the luck index: 100 × (the result − that number).
Game by game
The luck index of each game, in order. Right: luckier than the play. Left: unluckier.
Where the luck came from
Luck in points over the regular season, by kind, at the fitted luck shares. Positive: in the Colts’ favor.
| Kind | Points | Per game |
|---|---|---|
| Judgment calls | +14.9 | +7.45 |
| Kicks | +2.1 | +1.03 |
| Injuries | +1.7 | +0.86 |
| Rest | +0.2 | +0.10 |
| 3rd & 4th downs | −0.9 | −0.43 |
| Drops | −2.3 | −1.15 |