2026 season · in progress
Detroit Lions, 2026: game by game
The Lions went 1–1 so far in 2026; replayed with the same day’s form, their play was worth 0.5 wins. Luck added 0.5: the 8th-luckiest team in the league. In one-score games they went 1–0.
Every game
How often the Lions win each game when it’s replayed with the way both teams played, and the luck index: 100 × (the result − that number).
Game by game
The luck index of each game, in order. Right: luckier than the play. Left: unluckier.
Where the luck came from
Luck in points over the regular season, by kind, at the fitted luck shares. Positive: in the Lions’ favor.
| Kind | Points | Per game |
|---|---|---|
| Kicks | +3.7 | +1.85 |
| Drops | +2.8 | +1.42 |
| Fumble bounces | +1.6 | +0.79 |
| Injuries | −0.1 | −0.04 |
| 3rd & 4th downs | −2.6 | −1.29 |
| Judgment calls | −5.3 | −2.64 |