NFC North
Detroit Lions: how lucky, season by season
Since 2019, the Lions have won 57 regular-season games; replayed with the same day’s form, their play was worth 58.7. Luck cost them 1.7 wins. Their luckiest season was 2024 (+2.8 wins), the unluckiest 2019 (−3.1).
2026: 1–1 so far, replay wins 0.5 (+0.5 luck). 2026 game by game
Luck in wins, by season
Wins minus replay wins in the regular season. Right: luck added wins. Left: luck cost wins.
| Season | Record | Replay wins | Luck | One-score | Calls, pts per game | Playoffs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 1–1 | 0.5 | +0.5 | 1–0 | −2.64 | – |
| 2025 | 9–8 | 10.5 | −1.5 | 3–5 | −1.92 | – |
| 2024 | 15–2 | 12.2 | +2.8 | 7–2 | +0.48 | 0–1 |
| 2023 | 12–5 | 10.5 | +1.5 | 5–3 | −1.27 | 2–1 |
| 2022 | 9–8 | 7.5 | +1.5 | 4–5 | −0.31 | – |
| 2021 | 3–13–1 | 4.8 | −1.3 | 2–6–1 | +1.13 | – |
| 2020 | 5–11 | 6.6 | −1.6 | 4–4 | −0.62 | – |
| 2019 | 3–12–1 | 6.6 | −3.1 | 3–8–1 | −1.03 | – |
Luckiest wins
Wins the Lions take least often when the game is replayed with the way both teams played.
| Week | Game | Result | Wins the replay | Luck index |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 Week 1 | @ Chiefs | W 21–20 | 10% | +90 |
| 2021 Week 15 | vs Cardinals | W 30–12 | 20% | +80 |
| 2021 Week 13 | vs Vikings | W 29–27 | 23% | +77 |
| 2019 Week 2 | vs Chargers | W 13–10 | 28% | +72 |
| 2020 Week 3 | @ Cardinals | W 26–23 | 30% | +70 |
Unluckiest losses
Losses the Lions would win most often in a replay.
| Week | Game | Result | Wins the replay | Luck index |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 Week 11 | @ Eagles | L 9–16 | 88% | −88 |
| 2019 Week 12 | @ Washington | L 16–19 | 87% | −87 |
| 2019 Week 10 | @ Bears | L 13–20 | 86% | −86 |
| 2024 Week 2 | vs Buccaneers | L 16–20 | 82% | −82 |
| 2020 Week 1 | vs Bears | L 23–27 | 74% | −74 |
