NFC North
Minnesota Vikings: how lucky, season by season
Since 2019, the Vikings have won 68 regular-season games; replayed with the same day’s form, their play was worth 61.1. Luck added 6.9 wins. Their luckiest season was 2022 (+5.0 wins), the unluckiest 2023 (−2.5).
2026: 2–0 so far, replay wins 1.0 (+1.0 luck). 2026 game by game
Luck in wins, by season
Wins minus replay wins in the regular season. Right: luck added wins. Left: luck cost wins.
| Season | Record | Replay wins | Luck | One-score | Calls, pts per game | Playoffs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 2–0 | 1.0 | +1.0 | 1–0 | +9.94 | – |
| 2025 | 9–8 | 7.5 | +1.5 | 5–4 | +0.37 | – |
| 2024 | 14–3 | 11.7 | +2.3 | 9–1 | +1.65 | 0–1 |
| 2023 | 7–10 | 9.5 | −2.5 | 6–8 | +1.44 | – |
| 2022 | 13–4 | 8.0 | +5.0 | 11–0 | +3.35 | 0–1 |
| 2021 | 8–9 | 6.4 | +1.6 | 6–8 | −2.18 | – |
| 2020 | 7–9 | 8.5 | −1.5 | 6–4 | −0.80 | – |
| 2019 | 10–6 | 9.5 | +0.5 | 2–4 | −1.44 | 1–1 |
Luckiest wins
Wins the Vikings take least often when the game is replayed with the way both teams played.
| Week | Game | Result | Wins the replay | Luck index |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 Week 10 | @ Bills | W 33–30 | 16% | +84 |
| 2021 Week 10 | @ Chargers | W 27–20 | 24% | +76 |
| 2019 Week 1 | vs Falcons | W 28–12 | 26% | +74 |
| 2022 Week 6 | @ Dolphins | W 24–16 | 27% | +73 |
| 2025 Week 15 | @ Cowboys | W 34–26 | 29% | +71 |
Unluckiest losses
Losses the Vikings would win most often in a replay.
| Week | Game | Result | Wins the replay | Luck index |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2019 Week 17 | vs Bears | L 19–21 | 91% | −91 |
| 2020 Week 6 | vs Falcons | L 23–40 | 90% | −90 |
| 2023 Week 1 | vs Buccaneers | L 17–20 | 90% | −90 |
| 2021 Week 13 | @ Lions | L 27–29 | 77% | −77 |
| 2023 Week 15 | @ Bengals | L 24–27 | 74% | −74 |
