NFC North
Green Bay Packers: how lucky, season by season
Since 2019, the Packers have won 76.5 regular-season games; replayed with the same day’s form, their play was worth 73.6. Luck added 2.9 wins. Their luckiest season was 2019 (+5.0 wins), the unluckiest 2025 (−3.0).
2026: 1–2 so far, replay wins 1.0 (0.0 luck). 2026 game by game
Luck in wins, by season
Wins minus replay wins in the regular season. Right: luck added wins. Left: luck cost wins.
| Season | Record | Replay wins | Luck | One-score | Calls, pts per game | Playoffs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 1–2 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1–0 | −2.55 | – |
| 2025 | 9–7–1 | 12.5 | −3.0 | 4–5–1 | −0.30 | 0–1 |
| 2024 | 11–6 | 12.4 | −1.4 | 5–5 | −0.36 | 0–1 |
| 2023 | 9–8 | 8.6 | +0.4 | 6–5 | +0.45 | 1–1 |
| 2022 | 8–9 | 9.5 | −1.5 | 4–5 | +1.46 | – |
| 2021 | 13–4 | 11.0 | +2.0 | 6–3 | −1.20 | 0–1 |
| 2020 | 13–3 | 11.5 | +1.5 | 4–2 | +1.10 | 1–1 |
| 2019 | 13–3 | 8.0 | +5.0 | 8–1 | +2.82 | 1–1 |
Luckiest wins
Wins the Packers take least often when the game is replayed with the way both teams played.
| Week | Game | Result | Wins the replay | Luck index |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2019 Week 5 | @ Cowboys | W 34–24 | 7% | +93 |
| 2021 Week 12 | vs Rams | W 36–28 | 24% | +76 |
| 2023 Week 13 | vs Chiefs | W 27–19 | 25% | +75 |
| 2020 Week 1 | @ Vikings | W 43–34 | 31% | +69 |
| 2023 Week 11 | vs Chargers | W 23–20 | 33% | +67 |
Unluckiest losses
Losses the Packers would win most often in a replay.
| Week | Game | Result | Wins the replay | Luck index |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 Week 18 | vs Bears | L 22–24 | 97% | −97 |
| 2025 Week 15 | @ Broncos | L 26–34 | 92% | −92 |
| 2022 Week 7 | @ Commanders | L 21–23 | 85% | −85 |
| 2025 Week 3 | @ Browns | L 10–13 | 82% | −82 |
| 2024 Week 1 | @ Eagles | L 29–34 | 76% | −76 |
