2026 season · in progress
Green Bay Packers, 2026: game by game
The Packers went 1–2 so far in 2026; replayed with the same day’s form, their play was worth 1.0 wins. Luck added 0.0: the 16th-luckiest team in the league. In one-score games they went 1–0.
Every game
How often the Packers win each game when it’s replayed with the way both teams played, and the luck index: 100 × (the result − that number).
| Week | Game | Result | Wins the replay | Luck index |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Week 1 | @ Vikings | L 22–39 | 55% | −55 |
| Week 2 | @ Jets | W 20–17 | 34% | +66 |
| Week 3 | vs Falcons | L 14–35 | 10% | −10 |
Game by game
The luck index of each game, in order. Right: luckier than the play. Left: unluckier.
Where the luck came from
Luck in points over the regular season, by kind, at the fitted luck shares. Positive: in the Packers’ favor.
| Kind | Points | Per game |
|---|---|---|
| Fumble bounces | +1.6 | +0.52 |
| Drops | −1.9 | −0.64 |
| Kicks | −3.3 | −1.11 |
| Injuries | −4.5 | −1.49 |
| Judgment calls | −7.6 | −2.55 |
| 3rd & 4th downs | −8.7 | −2.91 |