2026 season · in progress
Miami Dolphins, 2026: game by game
The Dolphins went 0–2 so far in 2026; replayed with the same day’s form, their play was worth 0.6 wins. Luck cost them 0.6: the 8th-unluckiest team in the league. In one-score games they went 0–0.
Every game
How often the Dolphins win each game when it’s replayed with the way both teams played, and the luck index: 100 × (the result − that number).
Game by game
The luck index of each game, in order. Right: luckier than the play. Left: unluckier.
Where the luck came from
Luck in points over the regular season, by kind, at the fitted luck shares. Positive: in the Dolphins’ favor.
| Kind | Points | Per game |
|---|---|---|
| Injuries | +2.1 | +1.06 |
| Judgment calls | +0.7 | +0.36 |
| Drops | +0.5 | +0.27 |
| Rest | −0.6 | −0.29 |
| 3rd & 4th downs | −3.1 | −1.55 |
| Kicks | −7.7 | −3.87 |