2026 season · in progress
Houston Texans, 2026: game by game
The Texans went 0–2 so far in 2026; replayed with the same day’s form, their play was worth 0.6 wins. Luck cost them 0.6: the 5th-unluckiest team in the league. In one-score games they went 0–1.
Every game
How often the Texans win each game when it’s replayed with the way both teams played, and the luck index: 100 × (the result − that number).
| Week | Game | Result | Wins the replay | Luck index |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Week 1 | vs Bills | L 31–36 | 7% | −7 |
| Week 2 | vs Bengals | L 6–20 | 56% | −56 |
Game by game
The luck index of each game, in order. Right: luckier than the play. Left: unluckier.
Where the luck came from
Luck in points over the regular season, by kind, at the fitted luck shares. Positive: in the Texans’ favor.
| Kind | Points | Per game |
|---|---|---|
| Drops | +4.2 | +2.08 |
| Judgment calls | +0.1 | +0.05 |
| Injuries | −1.9 | −0.93 |
| 3rd & 4th downs | −2.0 | −1.01 |
| Kicks | −4.3 | −2.17 |
| Fumble bounces | −4.7 | −2.36 |