luckadjusted

2026 season · in progress

Seattle Seahawks, 2026: game by game

The Seahawks went 2–0 so far in 2026; replayed with the same day’s form, their play was worth 1.5 wins. Luck added 0.5: the 9th-luckiest team in the league. In one-score games they went 1–0.

Every game

How often the Seahawks win each game when it’s replayed with the way both teams played, and the luck index: 100 × (the result − that number).

WeekGameResultWins the replayLuck index
Week 1 vs Patriots W 13–10 77% +23
Week 2 @ Cardinals W 31–7 70% +30

Game by game

The luck index of each game, in order. Right: luckier than the play. Left: unluckier.

Where the luck came from

Luck in points over the regular season, by kind, at the fitted luck shares. Positive: in the Seahawks’ favor.

KindPointsPer game
Rest+0.8+0.40
Kicks−0.8−0.41
3rd & 4th downs−1.6−0.80
Drops−2.1−1.05
Judgment calls−2.7−1.34
Injuries−5.9−2.93