One-score games · decided by 8 points or fewer

The Seahawks in one-score games

The Seahawks are 2–3 in one-score games in 2026 so far, after 6–3 in 2025. Replayed with the same day’s form, they win 3.1 of those 5. Since 2019: 45–28 in 73 one-score games, 40.7 wins in replays.

A good record in close games looks like clutch. It rarely lasts: from 2019 to 2025, a team’s win rate in one-score games carried into the next season at a correlation of 0.12, against 0.39 for its overall record. How often a team wins those games in replays says what its play was worth.

Close-game luck by season

One-score wins minus how many of those games the Seahawks win in replays (regular season).

2026 −1.1 2–3

2025 −0.1 6–3

2024 +0.5 6–2

2023 +1.5 6–4

2022 −1.3 4–6

2021 +0.2 3–5

2020 +0.7 8–3

2019 +3.8 10–2

Season	One-score record	Replay wins in those games	Close-game luck	Overall record
2026	2–3	3.1 of 5	−1.1	5–4
2025	6–3	6.1 of 9	−0.1	14–3
2024	6–2	5.5 of 8	+0.5	10–7
2023	6–4	4.5 of 10	+1.5	9–8
2022	4–6	5.3 of 10	−1.3	9–8
2021	3–5	2.8 of 8	+0.2	7–10
2020	8–3	7.3 of 11	+0.7	12–4
2019	10–2	6.2 of 12	+3.8	11–5

2026 one-score games

Week	Game	Result	Wins the replay	Luck index
Week 1	vs Patriots	W 13–10	77%	+23
Week 3	@ Commanders	L 31–33	74%	−74
Week 4	vs Chargers	W 30–23	81%	+19
Week 5	vs 49ers	L 29–32	2%	−2
Week 6	@ Broncos	L 14–17	77%	−77

Every team’s one-score record, 2026 · Seattle Seahawks, every season