One-score games · decided by 8 points or fewer

The Seahawks in one-score games

The Seahawks are 1–0 in one-score games in 2026 so far, after 6–3 in 2025. Replayed with the same day’s form, they win 0.8 of those 1. Since 2019: 44–25 in 69 one-score games, 37.6 wins in replays.

A good record in close games looks like clutch. It rarely lasts: from 2019 to 2025, a team’s win rate in one-score games carried into the next season at a correlation of 0.12, against 0.39 for its overall record. How often a team wins those games in replays says what its play was worth.

Close-game luck by season

One-score wins minus how many of those games the Seahawks win in replays (regular season).

2026 +0.2 1–0

2025 −0.2 6–3

2024 +0.8 6–2

2023 +1.7 6–4

2022 −1.0 4–6

2021 +0.2 3–5

2020 +0.7 8–3

2019 +3.9 10–2

Season	One-score record	Replay wins in those games	Close-game luck	Overall record
2026	1–0	0.8 of 1	+0.2	2–0
2025	6–3	6.2 of 9	−0.2	14–3
2024	6–2	5.2 of 8	+0.8	10–7
2023	6–4	4.3 of 10	+1.7	9–8
2022	4–6	5.0 of 10	−1.0	9–8
2021	3–5	2.8 of 8	+0.2	7–10
2020	8–3	7.3 of 11	+0.7	12–4
2019	10–2	6.1 of 12	+3.9	11–5

2026 one-score games

Week	Game	Result	Wins the replay	Luck index
Week 1	vs Patriots	W 13–10	77%	+23

Every team’s one-score record, 2026 · Seattle Seahawks, every season