2020 season · final
Seattle Seahawks, 2020: game by game
The Seahawks went 12–4 in 2020; replayed with the same day’s form, their play was worth 10.1 wins. Luck added 1.9: the 6th-luckiest team in the league. In one-score games they went 8–3.
Playoffs: 0–1, replay wins 0.4.
Every game
How often the Seahawks win each game when it’s replayed with the way both teams played, and the luck index: 100 × (the result − that number).
| Week | Game | Result | Wins the replay | Luck index |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Week 1 | @ Falcons | W 38–25 | 34% | +66 |
| Week 2 | vs Patriots | W 35–30 | 56% | +44 |
| Week 3 | vs Cowboys | W 38–31 | 34% | +66 |
| Week 4 | @ Dolphins | W 31–23 | 82% | +18 |
| Week 5 | vs Vikings | W 27–26 | 80% | +20 |
| Week 7 | @ Cardinals | L 34–37 | 86% | −86 |
| Week 8 | vs 49ers | W 37–27 | 59% | +41 |
| Week 9 | @ Bills | L 34–44 | 26% | −26 |
| Week 10 | @ Rams | L 16–23 | 40% | −40 |
| Week 11 | vs Cardinals | W 28–21 | 43% | +57 |
| Week 12 | @ Eagles | W 23–17 | 92% | +8 |
| Week 13 | vs Giants | L 12–17 | 46% | −46 |
| Week 14 | vs Jets | W 40–3 | 99% | +1 |
| Week 15 | @ Washington | W 20–15 | 91% | +9 |
| Week 16 | vs Rams | W 20–9 | 61% | +39 |
| Week 17 | @ 49ers | W 26–23 | 76% | +24 |
| Wild Card | vs Rams | L 20–30 | 37% | −37 |
Game by game
The luck index of each game, in order. Right: luckier than the play. Left: unluckier.
Where the luck came from
Luck in points over the regular season, by kind, at the fitted luck shares. Positive: in the Seahawks’ favor.
| Kind | Points | Per game |
|---|---|---|
| Kicks | +20.7 | +1.29 |
| Judgment calls | +11.9 | +0.74 |
| Fumble bounces | +6.3 | +0.39 |
| Injuries | +3.0 | +0.19 |
| Rest | −0.4 | −0.02 |
| 3rd & 4th downs | −2.8 | −0.17 |