2020 season · final
Seattle Seahawks, 2020: game by game
The Seahawks went 12–4 in 2020; replayed with the same day’s form, their play was worth 10.1 wins. Luck added 1.9: the 6th-luckiest team in the league. In one-score games they went 8–3.
Playoffs: 0–1, replay wins 0.4.
Every game
How often the Seahawks win each game when it’s replayed with the way both teams played, and the luck index: 100 × (the result − that number).
| Week | Game | Result | Wins the replay | Luck index |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Week 1 | @ Falcons | W 38–25 | 33% | +67 |
| Week 2 | vs Patriots | W 35–30 | 55% | +45 |
| Week 3 | vs Cowboys | W 38–31 | 33% | +67 |
| Week 4 | @ Dolphins | W 31–23 | 84% | +16 |
| Week 5 | vs Vikings | W 27–26 | 80% | +20 |
| Week 7 | @ Cardinals | L 34–37 | 87% | −87 |
| Week 8 | vs 49ers | W 37–27 | 57% | +43 |
| Week 9 | @ Bills | L 34–44 | 26% | −26 |
| Week 10 | @ Rams | L 16–23 | 42% | −42 |
| Week 11 | vs Cardinals | W 28–21 | 42% | +58 |
| Week 12 | @ Eagles | W 23–17 | 92% | +8 |
| Week 13 | vs Giants | L 12–17 | 46% | −46 |
| Week 14 | vs Jets | W 40–3 | 99% | +1 |
| Week 15 | @ Washington | W 20–15 | 90% | +10 |
| Week 16 | vs Rams | W 20–9 | 65% | +35 |
| Week 17 | vs 49ers | W 26–23 | 78% | +22 |
| Wild Card | vs Rams | L 20–30 | 39% | −39 |
Game by game
The luck index of each game, in order. Right: luckier than the play. Left: unluckier.
Where the luck came from
Luck over the regular season by kind, in wins: every lucky or unlucky play weighted by the moment it happened, so a missed kick at the end of a close game counts for far more than one in a blowout. Positive: in the Seahawks’ favor. At the fitted luck shares.
| Kind | Wins | Points |
|---|---|---|
| Fumble bounces | +0.09 | +8.7 |
| 3rd & 4th downs | +0.06 | −0.8 |
| Injuries | +0.04 | +2.3 |
| Kicks | −0.27 | +20.1 |