2021 season · final
Seattle Seahawks, 2021: game by game
The Seahawks went 7–10 in 2021; replayed with the same day’s form, their play was worth 7.4 wins. Luck cost them 0.4: the 14th-unluckiest team in the league. In one-score games they went 3–5.
Every game
How often the Seahawks win each game when it’s replayed with the way both teams played, and the luck index: 100 × (the result − that number).
| Week | Game | Result | Wins the replay | Luck index |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Week 1 | @ Colts | W 28–16 | 63% | +37 |
| Week 2 | vs Titans | L 30–33 | 32% | −32 |
| Week 3 | @ Vikings | L 17–30 | 60% | −60 |
| Week 4 | @ 49ers | W 28–21 | 9% | +91 |
| Week 5 | vs Rams | L 17–26 | 29% | −29 |
| Week 6 | @ Steelers | L 20–23 | 30% | −30 |
| Week 7 | vs Saints | L 10–13 | 52% | −52 |
| Week 8 | vs Jaguars | W 31–7 | 62% | +38 |
| Week 10 | @ Packers | L 0–17 | 20% | −20 |
| Week 11 | vs Cardinals | L 13–23 | 36% | −36 |
| Week 12 | @ Washington | L 15–17 | 10% | −10 |
| Week 13 | vs 49ers | W 30–23 | 2% | +98 |
| Week 14 | @ Texans | W 33–13 | 87% | +13 |
| Week 15 | @ Rams | L 10–20 | 11% | −11 |
| Week 16 | vs Bears | L 24–25 | 61% | −61 |
| Week 17 | vs Lions | W 51–29 | 86% | +14 |
| Week 18 | @ Cardinals | W 38–30 | 84% | +16 |
Game by game
The luck index of each game, in order. Right: luckier than the play. Left: unluckier.
Where the luck came from
Luck over the regular season by kind, in wins: every lucky or unlucky play weighted by the moment it happened, so a missed kick at the end of a close game counts for far more than one in a blowout. Positive: in the Seahawks’ favor. At the fitted luck shares.
| Kind | Wins | Points |
|---|---|---|
| Fumble bounces | +0.55 | 0.0 |
| Injuries | +0.10 | +2.9 |
| Judgment calls | +0.03 | +8.9 |
| Kicks | +0.03 | −0.8 |