2022 season · final

Seattle Seahawks, 2022: game by game

The Seahawks went 9–8 in 2022; replayed with the same day’s form, their play was worth 9.9 wins. Luck cost them 0.9: the 12th-unluckiest team in the league. In one-score games they went 4–6.

Playoffs: 0–1, replay wins 0.2.

Every game

How often the Seahawks win each game when it’s replayed with the way both teams played, and the luck index: 100 × (the result − that number).

Week	Game	Result	Wins the replay	Luck index
Week 1	vs Broncos	W 17–16	36%	+64
Week 2	@ 49ers	L 7–27	27%	−27
Week 3	vs Falcons	L 23–27	46%	−46
Week 4	@ Lions	W 48–45	87%	+13
Week 5	@ Saints	L 32–39	50%	−50
Week 6	vs Cardinals	W 19–9	83%	+17
Week 7	@ Chargers	W 37–23	93%	+7
Week 8	vs Giants	W 27–13	82%	+18
Week 9	@ Cardinals	W 31–21	99%	+1
Week 10	@ Buccaneers	L 16–21	45%	−45
Week 12	vs Raiders	L 34–40	14%	−14
Week 13	@ Rams	W 27–23	90%	+10
Week 14	vs Panthers	L 24–30	45%	−45
Week 15	vs 49ers	L 13–21	11%	−11
Week 16	@ Chiefs	L 10–24	8%	−8
Week 17	vs Jets	W 23–6	91%	+9
Week 18	vs Rams	W 19–16	78%	+22
Wild Card	@ 49ers	L 23–41	16%	−16

Game by game

The luck index of each game, in order. Right: luckier than the play. Left: unluckier.

Wk 1 +64 vs DEN

Wk 2 −27 @ SF

Wk 3 −46 vs ATL

Wk 4 +13 @ DET

Wk 5 −50 @ NO

Wk 6 +17 vs ARI

Wk 7 +7 @ LAC

Wk 8 +18 vs NYG

Wk 9 +1 @ ARI

Wk 10 −45 @ TB

Wk 12 −14 vs LV

Wk 13 +10 @ LA

Wk 14 −45 vs CAR

Wk 15 −11 vs SF

Wk 16 −8 @ KC

Wk 17 +9 vs NYJ

Wk 18 +22 vs LA

Wild Card −16 @ SF

Where the luck came from

Luck in points over the regular season, by kind, at the fitted luck shares. Positive: in the Seahawks’ favor.

Kind	Points	Per game
Injuries	+37.2	+2.19
Drops	+19.4	+1.14
Kicks	+11.0	+0.65
Rest	+0.2	+0.01
3rd & 4th downs	−3.4	−0.20
Fumble bounces	−9.4	−0.56
Judgment calls	−14.9	−0.88