2025 season · final
Seattle Seahawks, 2025: game by game
The Seahawks went 14–3 in 2025; replayed with the same day’s form, their play was worth 12.4 wins. Luck added 1.6: the 8th-luckiest team in the league. In one-score games they went 6–3.
Playoffs: 3–0, replay wins 1.4.
Every game
How often the Seahawks win each game when it’s replayed with the way both teams played, and the luck index: 100 × (the result − that number).
| Week | Game | Result | Wins the replay | Luck index |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Week 1 | vs 49ers | L 13–17 | 32% | −32 |
| Week 2 | @ Steelers | W 31–17 | 87% | +13 |
| Week 3 | vs Saints | W 44–13 | 90% | +10 |
| Week 4 | @ Cardinals | W 23–20 | 83% | +17 |
| Week 5 | vs Buccaneers | L 35–38 | 66% | −66 |
| Week 6 | @ Jaguars | W 20–12 | 94% | +6 |
| Week 7 | vs Texans | W 27–19 | 88% | +12 |
| Week 9 | @ Commanders | W 38–14 | 82% | +18 |
| Week 10 | vs Cardinals | W 44–22 | 84% | +16 |
| Week 11 | @ Rams | L 19–21 | 52% | −52 |
| Week 12 | @ Titans | W 30–24 | 98% | +2 |
| Week 13 | vs Vikings | W 26–0 | 97% | +3 |
| Week 14 | @ Falcons | W 37–9 | 79% | +21 |
| Week 15 | vs Colts | W 18–16 | 75% | +25 |
| Week 16 | vs Rams | W 38–37 | 29% | +71 |
| Week 17 | @ Panthers | W 27–10 | 64% | +36 |
| Week 18 | @ 49ers | W 13–3 | 45% | +55 |
| Divisional round | vs 49ers | W 41–6 | 85% | +15 |
| NFC Championship | vs Rams | W 31–27 | 22% | +78 |
| Super Bowl | @ Patriots | W 29–13 | 30% | +70 |
Game by game
The luck index of each game, in order. Right: luckier than the play. Left: unluckier.
Where the luck came from
Luck in points over the regular season, by kind, at the fitted luck shares. Positive: in the Seahawks’ favor.
| Kind | Points | Per game |
|---|---|---|
| Judgment calls | +15.4 | +0.91 |
| Injuries | +14.0 | +0.82 |
| Kicks | +11.2 | +0.66 |
| Drops | +10.3 | +0.60 |
| 3rd & 4th downs | +10.2 | +0.60 |
| Fumble bounces | +3.1 | +0.19 |
| Rest | +1.6 | +0.09 |