luckadjusted

2026 season · in progress

Philadelphia Eagles, 2026: game by game

The Eagles went 2–0 so far in 2026; replayed with the same day’s form, their play was worth 1.1 wins. Luck added 0.9: the 3rd-luckiest team in the league. In one-score games they went 2–0.

Every game

How often the Eagles win each game when it’s replayed with the way both teams played, and the luck index: 100 × (the result − that number).

WeekGameResultWins the replayLuck index
Week 1 vs Commanders W 24–22 41% +59
Week 2 @ Titans W 24–20 74% +26

Game by game

The luck index of each game, in order. Right: luckier than the play. Left: unluckier.

Where the luck came from

Luck in points over the regular season, by kind, at the fitted luck shares. Positive: in the Eagles’ favor.

KindPointsPer game
Kicks+3.7+1.87
3rd & 4th downs+2.9+1.46
Injuries+1.3+0.66
Drops+0.6+0.28
Fumble bounces−1.6−0.79
Judgment calls−2.4−1.22