One-score games · decided by 8 points or fewer

The Eagles in one-score games

The Eagles are 2–3 in one-score games in 2026 so far, after 8–4 in 2025. Replayed with the same day’s form, they win 1.7 of those 5. Since 2019: 43–27–1 in 71 one-score games, 36.8 wins in replays.

A good record in close games looks like clutch. It rarely lasts: from 2019 to 2025, a team’s win rate in one-score games carried into the next season at a correlation of 0.12, against 0.39 for its overall record. How often a team wins those games in replays says what its play was worth.

Close-game luck by season

One-score wins minus how many of those games the Eagles win in replays (regular season).

2026 +0.3 2–3

2025 +3.9 8–4

2024 +1.4 8–2

2023 +1.1 8–3

2022 +1.1 7–1

2021 −0.7 2–4

2020 +0.6 3–5–1

2019 −1.0 5–5

Season	One-score record	Replay wins in those games	Close-game luck	Overall record
2026	2–3	1.7 of 5	+0.3	2–7
2025	8–4	4.1 of 12	+3.9	11–6
2024	8–2	6.6 of 10	+1.4	14–3
2023	8–3	6.9 of 11	+1.1	11–6
2022	7–1	5.9 of 8	+1.1	14–3
2021	2–4	2.7 of 6	−0.7	9–8
2020	3–5–1	2.9 of 9	+0.6	4–11–1
2019	5–5	6.0 of 10	−1.0	9–7

2026 one-score games

Week	Game	Result	Wins the replay	Luck index
Week 1	vs Commanders	W 24–22	41%	+59
Week 2	@ Titans	W 24–20	62%	+38
Week 4	vs Rams	L 20–24	5%	−5
Week 5	vs Jaguars	L 17–19	16%	−16
Week 9	vs Giants	L 11–19	48%	−48

Every team’s one-score record, 2026 · Philadelphia Eagles, every season