One-score games · decided by 8 points or fewer

The Eagles in one-score games

The Eagles are 2–0 in one-score games in 2026 so far, after 8–4 in 2025. Replayed with the same day’s form, they win 1.1 of those 2. Since 2019: 43–24–1 in 68 one-score games, 35.1 wins in replays.

A good record in close games looks like clutch. It rarely lasts: from 2019 to 2025, a team’s win rate in one-score games carried into the next season at a correlation of 0.12, against 0.39 for its overall record. How often a team wins those games in replays says what its play was worth.

Close-game luck by season

One-score wins minus how many of those games the Eagles win in replays (regular season).

2026 +0.9 2–0

2025 +4.4 8–4

2024 +2.0 8–2

2023 +0.9 8–3

2022 +1.3 7–1

2021 −0.6 2–4

2020 +0.5 3–5–1

2019 −0.9 5–5

Season	One-score record	Replay wins in those games	Close-game luck	Overall record
2026	2–0	1.1 of 2	+0.9	2–0
2025	8–4	3.6 of 12	+4.4	11–6
2024	8–2	6.0 of 10	+2.0	14–3
2023	8–3	7.1 of 11	+0.9	11–6
2022	7–1	5.7 of 8	+1.3	14–3
2021	2–4	2.6 of 6	−0.6	9–8
2020	3–5–1	3.0 of 9	+0.5	4–11–1
2019	5–5	5.9 of 10	−0.9	9–7

2026 one-score games

Week	Game	Result	Wins the replay	Luck index
Week 1	vs Commanders	W 24–22	41%	+59
Week 2	@ Titans	W 24–20	74%	+26

Every team’s one-score record, 2026 · Philadelphia Eagles, every season