2019 season · final
Philadelphia Eagles, 2019: game by game
The Eagles went 9–7 in 2019; replayed with the same day’s form, their play was worth 9.0 wins. Luck cost them 0.0: the 14th-unluckiest team in the league. In one-score games they went 5–5.
Playoffs: 0–1, replay wins 0.3.
Every game
How often the Eagles win each game when it’s replayed with the way both teams played, and the luck index: 100 × (the result − that number).
| Week | Game | Result | Wins the replay | Luck index |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Week 1 | vs Washington | W 32–27 | 81% | +19 |
| Week 2 | @ Falcons | L 20–24 | 12% | −12 |
| Week 3 | vs Lions | L 24–27 | 36% | −36 |
| Week 4 | @ Packers | W 34–27 | 84% | +16 |
| Week 5 | vs Jets | W 31–6 | 99% | +1 |
| Week 6 | @ Vikings | L 20–38 | 27% | −27 |
| Week 7 | @ Cowboys | L 10–37 | 3% | −3 |
| Week 8 | @ Bills | W 31–13 | 96% | +4 |
| Week 9 | vs Bears | W 22–14 | 90% | +10 |
| Week 11 | vs Patriots | L 10–17 | 50% | −50 |
| Week 12 | vs Seahawks | L 9–17 | 47% | −47 |
| Week 13 | @ Dolphins | L 31–37 | 45% | −45 |
| Week 14 | vs Giants | W 23–17 | 88% | +12 |
| Week 15 | @ Washington | W 37–27 | 28% | +72 |
| Week 16 | vs Cowboys | W 17–9 | 55% | +45 |
| Week 17 | @ Giants | W 34–17 | 66% | +34 |
| Wild Card | vs Seahawks | L 9–17 | 31% | −31 |
Game by game
The luck index of each game, in order. Right: luckier than the play. Left: unluckier.
Where the luck came from
Luck in points over the regular season, by kind, at the fitted luck shares. Positive: in the Eagles’ favor.
| Kind | Points | Per game |
|---|---|---|
| Judgment calls | +5.5 | +0.34 |
| 3rd & 4th downs | +2.4 | +0.15 |
| Rest | −2.2 | −0.14 |
| Kicks | −4.8 | −0.30 |
| Fumble bounces | −6.3 | −0.39 |
| Injuries | −8.9 | −0.56 |