NFC East
Philadelphia Eagles: how lucky, season by season
Since 2019, the Eagles have won 72.5 regular-season games; replayed with the same day’s form, their play was worth 63.7. Luck added 8.8 wins. Their luckiest season was 2025 (+4.5 wins), the unluckiest 2020 (−0.4).
2026: 2–0 so far, replay wins 1.1 (+0.9 luck). 2026 game by game
Luck in wins, by season
Wins minus replay wins in the regular season. Right: luck added wins. Left: luck cost wins.
| Season | Record | Replay wins | Luck | One-score | Calls, pts per game | Playoffs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 2–0 | 1.1 | +0.9 | 2–0 | −1.21 | – |
| 2025 | 11–6 | 6.5 | +4.5 | 8–4 | −1.72 | 0–1 |
| 2024 | 14–3 | 11.8 | +2.2 | 8–2 | −0.42 | 4–0 |
| 2023 | 11–6 | 10.3 | +0.7 | 8–3 | +0.18 | 0–1 |
| 2022 | 14–3 | 12.6 | +1.4 | 7–1 | −0.93 | 2–1 |
| 2021 | 9–8 | 8.6 | +0.4 | 2–4 | −1.43 | 0–1 |
| 2020 | 4–11–1 | 4.9 | −0.4 | 3–5–1 | +2.25 | – |
| 2019 | 9–7 | 9.0 | 0.0 | 5–5 | +0.34 | 0–1 |
Luckiest wins
Wins the Eagles take least often when the game is replayed with the way both teams played.
Unluckiest losses
Losses the Eagles would win most often in a replay.
| Week | Game | Result | Wins the replay | Luck index |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 Week 15 | @ Seahawks | L 17–20 | 82% | −82 |
| 2023 Week 6 | @ Jets | L 14–20 | 82% | −82 |
| 2021 Week 12 | @ Giants | L 7–13 | 77% | −77 |
| 2024 Week 2 | vs Falcons | L 21–22 | 65% | −65 |
| 2025 Week 18 | vs Commanders | L 17–24 | 61% | −61 |
