2026 season · in progress
New York Jets, 2026: game by game
The Jets went 1–1 so far in 2026; replayed with the same day’s form, their play was worth 1.5 wins. Luck cost them 0.5: the 9th-unluckiest team in the league. In one-score games they went 0–1.
Every game
How often the Jets win each game when it’s replayed with the way both teams played, and the luck index: 100 × (the result − that number).
| Week | Game | Result | Wins the replay | Luck index |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Week 1 | @ Titans | W 23–10 | 81% | +19 |
| Week 2 | vs Packers | L 17–20 | 66% | −66 |
Game by game
The luck index of each game, in order. Right: luckier than the play. Left: unluckier.
Where the luck came from
Luck in points over the regular season, by kind, at the fitted luck shares. Positive: in the Jets’ favor.
| Kind | Points | Per game |
|---|---|---|
| Fumble bounces | +3.1 | +1.57 |
| 3rd & 4th downs | +2.4 | +1.21 |
| Injuries | +1.7 | +0.85 |
| Drops | +1.1 | +0.55 |
| Kicks | −0.9 | −0.47 |
| Judgment calls | −6.8 | −3.38 |