AFC East
New York Jets: how lucky, season by season
Since 2019, the Jets have won 35 regular-season games; replayed with the same day’s form, their play was worth 35.9. Luck cost them 0.9 wins. Their luckiest season was 2019 (+2.5 wins), the unluckiest 2024 (−2.4).
2026: 1–1 so far, replay wins 1.5 (−0.5 luck). 2026 game by game
Luck in wins, by season
Wins minus replay wins in the regular season. Right: luck added wins. Left: luck cost wins.
| Season | Record | Replay wins | Luck | One-score | Calls, pts per game | Playoffs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 1–1 | 1.5 | −0.5 | 0–1 | −3.38 | – |
| 2025 | 3–14 | 3.9 | −0.9 | 3–5 | +1.00 | – |
| 2024 | 5–12 | 7.4 | −2.4 | 3–7 | +0.35 | – |
| 2023 | 7–10 | 5.3 | +1.7 | 4–4 | −1.56 | – |
| 2022 | 7–10 | 6.5 | +0.5 | 4–6 | −0.82 | – |
| 2021 | 4–13 | 4.9 | −0.9 | 4–5 | +0.24 | – |
| 2020 | 2–14 | 3.4 | −1.4 | 2–4 | −0.73 | – |
| 2019 | 7–9 | 4.5 | +2.5 | 5–2 | −3.13 | – |
Luckiest wins
Wins the Jets take least often when the game is replayed with the way both teams played.
| Week | Game | Result | Wins the replay | Luck index |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 Week 2 | @ Browns | W 31–30 | 2% | +98 |
| 2019 Week 6 | vs Cowboys | W 24–22 | 4% | +96 |
| 2023 Week 16 | vs Commanders | W 30–28 | 9% | +91 |
| 2025 Week 13 | vs Falcons | W 27–24 | 11% | +89 |
| 2023 Week 6 | vs Eagles | W 20–14 | 18% | +82 |
Unluckiest losses
Losses the Jets would win most often in a replay.
| Week | Game | Result | Wins the replay | Luck index |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 Week 8 | @ Patriots | L 22–25 | 91% | −91 |
| 2025 Week 1 | vs Steelers | L 32–34 | 88% | −88 |
| 2023 Week 17 | @ Browns | L 20–37 | 72% | −72 |
| 2025 Week 4 | @ Dolphins | L 21–27 | 69% | −69 |
| 2026 Week 2 | vs Packers | L 17–20 | 66% | −66 |
