2022 season · final
New York Jets, 2022: game by game
The Jets went 7–10 in 2022; replayed with the same day’s form, their play was worth 6.5 wins. Luck added 0.5: the 12th-luckiest team in the league. In one-score games they went 4–6.
Every game
How often the Jets win each game when it’s replayed with the way both teams played, and the luck index: 100 × (the result − that number).
| Week | Game | Result | Wins the replay | Luck index |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Week 1 | vs Ravens | L 9–24 | 31% | −31 |
| Week 2 | @ Browns | W 31–30 | 2% | +98 |
| Week 3 | vs Bengals | L 12–27 | 6% | −6 |
| Week 4 | @ Steelers | W 24–20 | 56% | +44 |
| Week 5 | vs Dolphins | W 40–17 | 91% | +9 |
| Week 6 | @ Packers | W 27–10 | 85% | +15 |
| Week 7 | @ Broncos | W 16–9 | 75% | +25 |
| Week 8 | vs Patriots | L 17–22 | 55% | −55 |
| Week 9 | vs Bills | W 20–17 | 40% | +60 |
| Week 11 | @ Patriots | L 3–10 | 15% | −15 |
| Week 12 | vs Bears | W 31–10 | 78% | +22 |
| Week 13 | @ Vikings | L 22–27 | 39% | −39 |
| Week 14 | @ Bills | L 12–20 | 5% | −5 |
| Week 15 | vs Lions | L 17–20 | 32% | −32 |
| Week 16 | vs Jaguars | L 3–19 | 8% | −8 |
| Week 17 | @ Seahawks | L 6–23 | 9% | −9 |
| Week 18 | @ Dolphins | L 6–11 | 20% | −20 |
Game by game
The luck index of each game, in order. Right: luckier than the play. Left: unluckier.
Where the luck came from
Luck in points over the regular season, by kind, at the fitted luck shares. Positive: in the Jets’ favor.
| Kind | Points | Per game |
|---|---|---|
| Kicks | +12.6 | +0.74 |
| 3rd & 4th downs | +4.8 | +0.28 |
| Drops | +3.7 | +0.22 |
| Injuries | +3.1 | +0.18 |
| Rest | −1.6 | −0.09 |
| Judgment calls | −13.9 | −0.82 |
| Fumble bounces | −18.9 | −1.11 |