2023 season · final
New York Giants, 2023: game by game
The Giants went 6–11 in 2023; replayed with the same day’s form, their play was worth 3.5 wins. Luck added 2.5: the 4th-luckiest team in the league. In one-score games they went 4–4.
Every game
How often the Giants win each game when it’s replayed with the way both teams played, and the luck index: 100 × (the result − that number).
| Week | Game | Result | Wins the replay | Luck index |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Week 1 | vs Cowboys | L 0–40 | 0% | 0 |
| Week 2 | @ Cardinals | W 31–28 | 79% | +21 |
| Week 3 | @ 49ers | L 12–30 | 9% | −9 |
| Week 4 | vs Seahawks | L 3–24 | 11% | −11 |
| Week 5 | @ Dolphins | L 16–31 | 0% | 0 |
| Week 6 | @ Bills | L 9–14 | 3% | −3 |
| Week 7 | vs Commanders | W 14–7 | 41% | +59 |
| Week 8 | vs Jets | L 10–13 | 32% | −32 |
| Week 9 | @ Raiders | L 6–30 | 4% | −4 |
| Week 10 | @ Cowboys | L 17–49 | 0% | 0 |
| Week 11 | @ Commanders | W 31–19 | 29% | +71 |
| Week 12 | vs Patriots | W 10–7 | 38% | +62 |
| Week 14 | vs Packers | W 24–22 | 27% | +73 |
| Week 15 | @ Saints | L 6–24 | 2% | −2 |
| Week 16 | @ Eagles | L 25–33 | 15% | −15 |
| Week 17 | vs Rams | L 25–26 | 12% | −12 |
| Week 18 | vs Eagles | W 27–10 | 51% | +49 |
Game by game
The luck index of each game, in order. Right: luckier than the play. Left: unluckier.
Where the luck came from
Luck in points over the regular season, by kind, at the fitted luck shares. Positive: in the Giants’ favor.
| Kind | Points | Per game |
|---|---|---|
| Fumble bounces | +20.5 | +1.20 |
| Drops | −0.4 | −0.02 |
| Rest | −1.6 | −0.09 |
| Kicks | −3.5 | −0.21 |
| Injuries | −4.7 | −0.28 |
| 3rd & 4th downs | −7.7 | −0.45 |
| Judgment calls | −11.1 | −0.65 |