2022 season · final
New York Giants, 2022: game by game
The Giants went 9–7–1 in 2022; replayed with the same day’s form, their play was worth 9.1 wins. Luck added 0.4: the 14th-luckiest team in the league. In one-score games they went 8–4–1.
Playoffs: 1–1, replay wins 0.8.
Every game
How often the Giants win each game when it’s replayed with the way both teams played, and the luck index: 100 × (the result − that number).
| Week | Game | Result | Wins the replay | Luck index |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Week 1 | @ Titans | W 21–20 | 36% | +64 |
| Week 2 | vs Panthers | W 19–16 | 71% | +29 |
| Week 3 | vs Cowboys | L 16–23 | 2% | −2 |
| Week 4 | vs Bears | W 20–12 | 82% | +18 |
| Week 5 | vs Packers | W 27–22 | 68% | +32 |
| Week 6 | vs Ravens | W 24–20 | 31% | +69 |
| Week 7 | @ Jaguars | W 23–17 | 79% | +21 |
| Week 8 | @ Seahawks | L 13–27 | 9% | −9 |
| Week 10 | vs Texans | W 24–16 | 94% | +6 |
| Week 11 | vs Lions | L 18–31 | 63% | −63 |
| Week 12 | @ Cowboys | L 20–28 | 51% | −51 |
| Week 13 | vs Commanders | T 20–20 | 91% | −41 |
| Week 14 | vs Eagles | L 22–48 | 3% | −3 |
| Week 15 | @ Commanders | W 20–12 | 64% | +36 |
| Week 16 | @ Vikings | L 24–27 | 67% | −67 |
| Week 17 | vs Colts | W 38–10 | 90% | +10 |
| Week 18 | @ Eagles | L 16–22 | 14% | −14 |
| Wild Card | @ Vikings | W 31–24 | 68% | +32 |
| Divisional round | @ Eagles | L 7–38 | 10% | −10 |
Game by game
The luck index of each game, in order. Right: luckier than the play. Left: unluckier.
Where the luck came from
Luck over the regular season by kind, in wins: every lucky or unlucky play weighted by the moment it happened, so a missed kick at the end of a close game counts for far more than one in a blowout. Positive: in the Giants’ favor. At the fitted luck shares.
| Kind | Wins | Points |
|---|---|---|
| Kicks | +0.79 | +7.1 |
| 3rd & 4th downs | +0.25 | +0.4 |
| Fumble bounces | +0.16 | −5.8 |
| Judgment calls | +0.14 | +0.5 |
| Drops | −0.05 | +3.1 |
| Injuries | −0.08 | −5.6 |